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Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Toulouse vs Nice Prediction & Win Probability

Toulouse has a 51% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1695
Form: WLDLD
Model Probability
51%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%26.9%13.9%
If Win <1%1.0%1.6%21.9%9.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.3%14.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.5%19.7%

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.0%2.0%15.2%5.8%
If Win <1%3.2%3.2%12.5%3.4%
If Draw <1%2.0%1.7%16.1%6.8%
If Lose <1%<1%1.0%19.6%9.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatNice
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored0.6
1.8Avg goals conceded1.2
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatNice
7All-time wins (29 meetings, 10 draws)12
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Toulouse 5–1 Nice