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Toulouse vs Nice Prediction & Win Probability

Toulouse has a 47% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3-4-3Rating 1756
Form: WLDWD
vs
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
26%
Ligue 1
Nice
5-2-3Rating 1736
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nice

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.1%5.0%3.4%<1%
If Win <1%9.3%7.2%1.1%<1%
If Draw <1%4.7%4.8%2.9%<1%
If Lose <1%3.8%3.4%5.1%<1%

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.9%2.4%7.0%<1%
If Win <1%4.9%4.0%3.4%<1%
If Draw <1%2.6%2.3%7.2%<1%
If Lose <1%1.2%1.6%9.2%1.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatNice
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored1.5
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
30% / 40% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 20% / 30%
40% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatNice
7All-time wins (29 meetings, 10 draws)12
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Toulouse 5–1 Nice