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Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Toulouse vs Lens Prediction & Win Probability

Lens has a 42% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1842
Form: LDLLW
Model Probability
31%
42%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.5%17.9%10.7%2.5%<1%
If Win 3.0%21.6%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.7%15.9%10.3%1.7%<1%
If Lose 1.4%12.1%8.3%2.5%<1%

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.9%2.5%14.6%5.7%
If Win <1%2.7%2.9%10.6%2.9%
If Draw <1%1.9%2.5%15.5%5.1%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.6%18.1%7.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatLens
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.8
1.8Avg goals conceded1.8
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatLens
3All-time wins (13 meetings, 2 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.6Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-04-17): Lens 3–2 Toulouse