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Toulouse vs Lens Prediction & Win Probability

Toulouse has a 40% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3-4-3Rating 1756
Form: WLDWD
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
33%
Ligue 1
Lens
4-1-5Rating 1790
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lens

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%6.9%6.8%2.5%<1%
If Win <1%11.1%8.1%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%5.7%5.9%2.5%<1%
If Lose <1%4.2%4.6%3.5%<1%

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.4%2.5%6.7%<1%
If Win <1%4.9%4.4%3.5%<1%
If Draw <1%2.5%1.9%6.2%<1%
If Lose <1%1.3%1.9%9.0%1.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatLens
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored1.7
1.4Avg goals conceded1.5
30% / 40% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 10% / 50%
40% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatLens
3All-time wins (13 meetings, 2 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
0.6Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-04-17): Lens 3–2 Toulouse