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Ligue 1
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Lyon vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 57% chance to win.

3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
Model Probability
57%
19%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.2%2.6%14.3%6.1%
If Win <1%4.7%3.5%9.2%2.8%
If Draw <1%2.1%2.1%14.8%5.3%
If Lose <1%1.2%1.9%17.4%6.4%

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 7.8%38.6%13.7%<1%<1%
If Win 9.3%43.6%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 6.8%34.5%11.5%<1%<1%
If Lose 5.1%29.0%12.5%1.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LyonStatToulouse
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored1.4
0.4Avg goals conceded1.8
60% / 40% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LyonStatToulouse
18All-time wins (30 meetings, 6 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Toulouse 0–2 Lyon