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Lyon vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Lyon has a 52% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Lyon
5-2-3Rating 1811
Form: LWLWL
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 25%
22%
Ligue 1
Toulouse
3-4-3Rating 1756
Form: WLDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.9%2.9%6.4%<1%
If Win <1%5.9%4.7%3.3%<1%
If Draw <1%3.2%2.7%4.9%<1%
If Lose <1%1.7%2.3%8.6%<1%

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%26.0%13.7%<1%<1%
If Win <1%31.0%13.7%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%22.2%12.7%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%16.9%9.8%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LyonStatToulouse
10Games played10
1.5Avg goals scored1.5
0.9Avg goals conceded1.4
50% / 20% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 40% / 30%
80% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LyonStatToulouse
18All-time wins (30 meetings, 6 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.9Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-08-22): Toulouse 0–2 Lyon