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Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Monaco vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 46% chance to win.

4-1-0 · Rating 1840
Form: WDWWW
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1829
Form: WDWDW
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 8.7%39.9%13.4%<1%<1%
If Win 11.4%47.3%13.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 7.4%38.4%14.4%<1%<1%
If Lose 5.0%33.7%14.3%<1%<1%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 17.2%59.3%12.0%<1%<1%
If Win 19.7%67.2%11.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.0%57.6%11.8%<1%<1%
If Lose 10.6%48.4%14.3%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatLyon
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored2.0
0.6Avg goals conceded0.4
80% / 20% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatLyon
10All-time wins (28 meetings, 3 draws)15
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Lyon 1–2 Monaco