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Monaco vs Lyon Prediction & Win Probability

Monaco has a 47% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Monaco
4-4-2Rating 1828
Form: DLDLD
vs
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
27%
Ligue 1
Lyon
5-2-3Rating 1811
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lyon

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%25.8%10.6%<1%<1%
If Win <1%36.3%13.9%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%24.9%13.6%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%19.8%11.7%<1%<1%

Monaco

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%30.5%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win <1%39.2%14.8%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%26.8%13.9%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%21.7%12.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MonacoStatLyon
10Games played10
1.3Avg goals scored1.5
1.1Avg goals conceded0.9
40% / 40% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 20% / 30%
50% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MonacoStatLyon
10All-time wins (28 meetings, 3 draws)15
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Lyon 1–2 Monaco