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Troyes vs Lorient Prediction & Win Probability

Lorient has a 37% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Troyes
2-2-6Rating 1684
Form: LWDLL
vs
Model Probability
35%
Draw 28%
37%
Ligue 1
Lorient
4-3-3Rating 1752
Form: WLDWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lorient

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.9%4.0%5.3%<1%
If Win <1%6.3%5.1%1.8%<1%
If Draw <1%3.5%2.9%3.8%<1%
If Lose <1%2.0%2.5%7.0%<1%

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%33.8%13.2%
If Win <1%<1%<1%28.9%8.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%34.9%14.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%39.7%16.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

TroyesStatLorient
10Games played10
0.7Avg goals scored0.9
1.7Avg goals conceded0.8
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 30% / 30%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
TroyesStatLorient
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-08-29): Lorient 1–2 Troyes