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Paris FC vs PSG Prediction & Win Probability

PSG has a 63% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 3, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Ligue 1
Paris FC
6-2-2Rating 1787
Form: WWLWL
vs
Model Probability
15%
Draw 21%
63%
Ligue 1
PSG
7-2-1Rating 2043
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

PSG

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 95.4%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 97.9%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 95.7%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 93.9%99.7%<1%<1%<1%

Paris FC

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%28.0%13.7%<1%<1%
If Win 1.4%38.7%14.8%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%29.4%13.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%23.7%12.8%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Paris FCStatPSG
10Games played10
1.7Avg goals scored2.2
1.0Avg goals conceded1.0
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 20% / 10%
80% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Paris FCStatPSG
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)1
1Last 2 meetings (0 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-05-17): Paris FC 2–1 PSG