← Home / France / Ligue 1 / Matches / Toulouse vs Paris FC
Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 17, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Toulouse vs Paris FC Prediction & Win Probability

Toulouse has a 40% chance to win.

1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
VS
3-2-0 · Rating 1773
Form: WDWWD
Model Probability
40%
32%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paris FC

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.4%16.2%9.8%2.8%<1%
If Win 3.5%20.9%10.9%1.3%<1%
If Draw 1.4%14.2%9.5%2.0%<1%
If Lose 1.2%12.0%8.2%3.8%<1%

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.2%2.6%14.1%5.2%
If Win <1%3.0%2.7%11.8%3.5%
If Draw <1%1.2%2.2%16.3%6.3%
If Lose <1%1.2%1.6%18.8%7.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ToulouseStatParis FC
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.8Avg goals conceded0.6
20% / 40% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss60% / 40% / 0%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ToulouseStatParis FC
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draws)0
2.0Average goals0.5
Last meeting (2026-02-21): Toulouse 1–1 Paris FC