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Ligue 1
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Lille vs Toulouse Prediction & Win Probability

Lille has a 55% chance to win.

3-1-1 · Rating 1814
Form: LWWDW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1740
Form: WDLDL
Model Probability
55%
21%
Draw 24%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Toulouse

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.0%2.1%14.3%4.9%
If Win <1%3.4%3.1%12.2%3.3%
If Draw <1%2.1%2.4%15.6%4.7%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.9%18.0%6.9%

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 4.5%28.3%13.0%<1%<1%
If Win 5.2%31.5%13.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 3.2%24.8%13.5%1.0%<1%
If Lose 2.3%19.8%11.4%1.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LilleStatToulouse
5Games played5
1.6Avg goals scored1.4
0.8Avg goals conceded1.8
60% / 20% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LilleStatToulouse
18All-time wins (30 meetings, 6 draws)6
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
1.6Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-09-03): Toulouse 0–1 Lille