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Ligue 1
Sun, May 16, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Strasbourg vs Troyes Prediction & Win Probability

Strasbourg has a 58% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1787
Form: LDWWL
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1690
Form: LLLWD
Model Probability
58%
19%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Troyes

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%26.0%20.6%
If Win <1%<1%1.0%23.5%13.1%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%27.3%18.8%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%27.5%23.1%

Strasbourg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%9.9%7.5%4.1%<1%
If Win 1.7%12.7%9.7%2.6%<1%
If Draw <1%10.1%6.4%4.0%<1%
If Lose <1%7.3%6.9%5.7%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

StrasbourgStatTroyes
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored0.8
2.0Avg goals conceded2.2
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
50% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
StrasbourgStatTroyes
2All-time wins (7 meetings, 3 draws)2
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.9Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-09-06): Troyes 2–6 Strasbourg