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Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 44% chance to win.
Final Score: Mainz 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Oct 18, 2025 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Mainz
1-1-4Rating 1730
Form: LLWLD
3 – 4
Model Probability
29%
Draw 27%
44%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
3-2-1Rating 1853
Form: WWDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatBayer Leverkusen
6Games played6
0.8Avg goals scored2.0
1.7Avg goals conceded1.3
17% / 17% / 67%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 33% / 17%
0% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatBayer Leverkusen
9All-time wins (31 meetings, 4 draws)18
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.2Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2025-05-17): Mainz 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen