← Home / Germany / Bundesliga / Matches / Mainz vs Hamburger SV
Final Score: Mainz 1–1 Hamburger SV
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 20, 2026 · 7:30 PM GMT

Mainz vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 51% chance to win.

5-6-11 · Rating 1768
Form: LWWWL
VS
6-7-8 · Rating 1681
Form: WWDDD
Model Probability
51%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatHamburger SV
22Games played21
1.1Avg goals scored1.1
1.7Avg goals conceded1.5
23% / 27% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 33% / 38%
27% Home win % / Away win % 10%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatHamburger SV
7All-time wins (18 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2025-10-05): Hamburger SV 4–0 Mainz