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Dortmund vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 68% chance to win.
Final Score: Dortmund 4–0 Mainz
Fri, Feb 13, 2026 · 7:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Dortmund
14-6-1Rating 1918
Form: WWWWW
4 – 0
Model Probability
68%
Draw 19%
13%
Bundesliga
Mainz
5-6-10Rating 1730
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatMainz
21Games played21
2.0Avg goals scored1.2
1.0Avg goals conceded1.6
67% / 29% / 5%Win / Draw / Loss24% / 29% / 48%
80% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatMainz
21All-time wins (32 meetings, 5 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.8Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-09-27): Mainz 0–2 Dortmund