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RB Leipzig vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 42% chance to win.
Final Score: RB Leipzig 2–2 Dortmund
Sat, Feb 21, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
12-4-6Rating 1838
Form: DWLDW
2 – 2
Model Probability
30%
Draw 28%
42%
Bundesliga
Dortmund
15-6-1Rating 1918
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RB LeipzigStatDortmund
22Games played22
1.9Avg goals scored2.1
1.4Avg goals conceded0.9
55% / 18% / 27%Win / Draw / Loss68% / 27% / 5%
64% Home win % / Away win % 55%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RB LeipzigStatDortmund
8All-time wins (19 meetings, 3 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2025-10-04): Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig