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Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 5:30 PM BST

Bayern Munich vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 75% chance to win.

3-1-0 · Rating 2045
Form: WWDWW
VS
2-0-2 · Rating 1813
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
75%
9%
Draw 15%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%25.7%12.4%1.7%<1%
If Win 1.4%40.8%14.7%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%30.1%14.0%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%23.3%13.8%1.9%<1%

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 79.9%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 81.3%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 72.0%99.2%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 66.8%98.7%1.0%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayern MunichStatRB Leipzig
4Games played4
3.5Avg goals scored2.2
0.5Avg goals conceded1.2
75% / 25% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 0% / 50%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayern MunichStatRB Leipzig
11All-time wins (20 meetings, 7 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-17): RB Leipzig 1–5 Bayern Munich