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Bundesliga
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT

Freiburg vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 59% chance to win.

3-1-0 · Rating 1824
Form: DWWWW
VS
3-1-0 · Rating 2045
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
18%
59%
Draw 23%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 78.5%99.5%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 83.4%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 76.9%99.4%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 67.4%99.0%<1%<1%<1%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.6%49.5%12.9%<1%<1%
If Win 4.9%64.0%12.2%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.5%51.3%14.7%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%43.4%13.2%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatBayern Munich
4Games played4
3.0Avg goals scored3.5
0.8Avg goals conceded0.5
75% / 25% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatBayern Munich
1All-time wins (31 meetings, 6 draws)24
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.8Average goals2.7
Last meeting (2026-04-04): Freiburg 2–3 Bayern Munich