Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 31, 2026 · 5:30 PM GMT
Bayern Munich vs Dortmund Prediction & Win Probability
Bayern Munich has a 63% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 22%
Model Prediction Through Season
Dortmund
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 15.3% | 91.0% | 4.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 33.4% | 96.0% | 2.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 20.6% | 92.0% | 4.2% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 10.9% | 89.2% | 4.7% | <1% | <1% |
Bayern Munich
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 80.5% | 99.5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 85.2% | 99.7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 73.5% | 99.5% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 61.0% | 98.7% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bayern Munich | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games played | 4 |
| 3.5 | Avg goals scored | 2.2 |
| 0.5 | Avg goals conceded | 0.5 |
| 75% / 25% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 100% / 0% / 0% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Bayern Munich | Stat | Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws) | 8 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 1 |
| 2.2 | Average goals | 1.2 |