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Bundesliga
Sun, Oct 18, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST

Bayer Leverkusen vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 50% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1863
Form: WDWLD
VS
3-1-0 · Rating 1824
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.9%47.9%13.2%<1%<1%
If Win 2.8%62.9%12.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.7%50.2%13.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%39.3%14.6%<1%<1%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.1%56.6%13.4%<1%<1%
If Win 3.0%65.4%12.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.5%52.0%14.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.0%42.3%14.1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatFreiburg
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored3.0
1.2Avg goals conceded0.8
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatFreiburg
15All-time wins (31 meetings, 10 draws)6
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.7Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-03-07): Freiburg 3–3 Bayer Leverkusen