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Mainz vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 41% chance to win.
Final Score: Mainz 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST
Bundesliga
Mainz
2-1-1Rating 1730
Form: WLWDW
3 – 4
Model Probability
31%
Draw 28%
41%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1-1Rating 1853
Form: WDWLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatBayer Leverkusen
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored2.5
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatBayer Leverkusen
9All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws)19
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.2Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Bayer Leverkusen 1–1 Mainz