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Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST

Schalke vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 46% chance to win.

1-2-1 · Rating 1633
Form: DWDLL
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
27%
46%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%12.0%8.8%4.0%<1%
If Win <1%17.7%10.5%2.1%<1%
If Draw <1%11.1%8.7%3.5%<1%
If Lose <1%7.7%5.6%6.5%1.5%

Schalke

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%31.2%22.1%
If Win <1%<1%<1%27.4%11.7%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%31.5%20.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.1%27.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SchalkeStatMainz
4Games played4
0.8Avg goals scored2.5
1.0Avg goals conceded1.5
25% / 50% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
0% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SchalkeStatMainz
14All-time wins (25 meetings, 7 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.4Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2023-05-05): Mainz 2–3 Schalke