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Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST

Mainz vs Werder Bremen Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 52% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1717
Form: WDWLL
Model Probability
52%
23%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.1%3.8%9.8%2.3%
If Win <1%9.8%6.8%5.6%<1%
If Draw <1%4.5%4.5%10.2%1.6%
If Lose <1%2.5%3.7%12.7%3.1%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%14.5%8.7%3.4%<1%
If Win <1%17.3%11.1%2.2%<1%
If Draw <1%10.1%8.3%4.1%<1%
If Lose <1%7.1%5.9%6.9%1.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatWerder Bremen
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored2.0
1.5Avg goals conceded2.0
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatWerder Bremen
11All-time wins (31 meetings, 7 draws)13
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-03-15): Werder Bremen 0–2 Mainz