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Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST

Werder Bremen vs Paderborn Prediction & Win Probability

Werder Bremen has a 44% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1717
Form: WDWLL
VS
1-1-2 · Rating 1721
Form: WLLDD
Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.1%3.0%13.6%4.4%
If Win <1%5.4%4.9%8.9%1.9%
If Draw <1%2.5%3.7%14.2%4.5%
If Lose <1%1.4%2.2%18.6%6.0%

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.7%4.0%9.8%2.5%
If Win <1%7.7%6.2%5.8%1.2%
If Draw <1%3.6%3.4%10.5%2.9%
If Lose <1%2.5%2.5%14.1%4.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Werder BremenStatPaderborn
4Games played4
2.0Avg goals scored0.8
2.0Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 25% / 50%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Werder BremenStatPaderborn
2All-time wins (4 meetings, 1 draws)1
2Last 4 meetings (1 draws)1
2.8Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2020-06-13): Paderborn 1–5 Werder Bremen