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Bundesliga
Sat, Oct 24, 2026 · 2:30 PM BST

Paderborn vs Hamburger SV Prediction & Win Probability

Paderborn has a 50% chance to win.

1-1-2 · Rating 1721
Form: WLLDD
VS
1-0-3 · Rating 1681
Form: WLLLD
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%25.6%14.6%
If Win <1%1.7%2.0%19.6%8.3%
If Draw <1%<1%1.0%26.7%13.9%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%30.2%19.0%

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%3.7%2.7%13.4%4.7%
If Win <1%5.0%4.4%9.1%2.7%
If Draw <1%2.3%2.5%14.7%5.3%
If Lose <1%1.5%1.8%19.7%8.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

PaderbornStatHamburger SV
4Games played4
0.8Avg goals scored0.5
1.2Avg goals conceded3.2
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 0% / 75%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
PaderbornStatHamburger SV
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 0 draws)1
1Last 2 meetings (0 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2015-02-04): Paderborn 0–3 Hamburger SV