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Bundesliga
Sun, Oct 25, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Hoffenheim vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 43% chance to win.

1-0-3 · Rating 1751
Form: LWLLL
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1863
Form: WDWLD
Model Probability
29%
43%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 2.1%56.9%13.0%<1%<1%
If Win 2.9%64.8%12.5%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.3%54.4%13.3%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.3%46.5%13.9%<1%<1%

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.0%5.0%10.0%2.7%
If Win <1%8.5%6.2%5.4%1.1%
If Draw <1%4.9%4.4%9.2%2.3%
If Lose <1%2.1%2.9%14.2%4.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

HoffenheimStatBayer Leverkusen
4Games played4
1.8Avg goals scored2.5
2.5Avg goals conceded1.2
25% / 0% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
HoffenheimStatBayer Leverkusen
9All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)18
2Last 5 meetings (0 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-01-17): Hoffenheim 1–0 Bayer Leverkusen