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Bundesliga
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Werder Bremen vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 42% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1717
Form: WDWLL
VS
3-1-0 · Rating 1824
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
30%
42%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.4%49.7%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win 2.3%54.6%15.1%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%46.2%13.6%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%39.2%13.2%<1%<1%

Werder Bremen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%4.7%4.9%10.5%1.8%
If Win <1%8.2%6.1%7.1%1.5%
If Draw <1%4.4%4.1%9.4%2.5%
If Lose <1%2.8%3.2%13.0%3.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Werder BremenStatFreiburg
4Games played4
2.0Avg goals scored3.0
2.0Avg goals conceded0.8
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Werder BremenStatFreiburg
10All-time wins (30 meetings, 8 draws)12
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
1.4Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-08-30): Freiburg 4–1 Werder Bremen