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Bundesliga
Sat, Feb 27, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Dortmund vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability

Dortmund has a 74% chance to win.

4-0-0 · Rating 1916
Form: WWWWW
VS
0-1-3 · Rating 1691
Form: LLLDW
Model Probability
74%
10%
Draw 16%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.0%<1%26.6%19.3%
If Win <1%1.6%1.7%22.3%9.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.8%15.1%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%28.9%18.7%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 16.6%91.3%3.9%<1%<1%
If Win 18.3%92.5%3.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 13.6%89.2%4.2%<1%<1%
If Lose 10.1%84.9%6.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatUnion Berlin
4Games played4
2.2Avg goals scored1.0
0.5Avg goals conceded4.2
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 25% / 75%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatUnion Berlin
10All-time wins (14 meetings, 0 draws)4
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
2.6Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-01-24): Union Berlin 0–3 Dortmund