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Bundesliga
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Bayern Munich vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 80% chance to win.

3-1-0 · Rating 2045
Form: WWDWW
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
80%
7%
Draw 13%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%14.7%9.1%3.4%<1%
If Win <1%20.0%11.4%2.0%<1%
If Draw <1%16.1%9.4%3.0%<1%
If Lose <1%12.4%7.6%3.8%<1%

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 79.6%99.5%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 79.3%99.5%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 74.6%99.6%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 70.2%99.3%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayern MunichStatMainz
4Games played4
3.5Avg goals scored2.5
0.5Avg goals conceded1.5
75% / 25% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
100% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayern MunichStatMainz
23All-time wins (33 meetings, 3 draws)7
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.8Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-04-25): Mainz 3–4 Bayern Munich