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Bundesliga
Sat, Mar 6, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT

Dortmund vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 46% chance to win.

4-0-0 · Rating 1916
Form: WWWWW
VS
3-1-0 · Rating 2045
Form: WWDWW
Model Probability
27%
46%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 78.7%99.5%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 85.5%99.6%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 80.5%99.7%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 69.3%99.3%<1%<1%<1%

Dortmund

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 17.2%90.5%4.3%<1%<1%
If Win 26.1%94.4%2.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 14.8%92.4%3.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 10.5%89.4%4.6%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DortmundStatBayern Munich
4Games played4
2.2Avg goals scored3.5
0.5Avg goals conceded0.5
100% / 0% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DortmundStatBayern Munich
8All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)19
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.2Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Dortmund 2–3 Bayern Munich