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Bundesliga
Sat, Apr 3, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST

RB Leipzig vs Freiburg Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 43% chance to win.

2-0-2 · Rating 1813
Form: LWLWL
VS
3-1-0 · Rating 1824
Form: DWWWW
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.5%47.7%13.6%<1%<1%
If Win 2.4%57.7%13.3%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.3%48.8%14.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 1.5%44.2%13.6%<1%<1%

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%28.6%13.0%1.2%<1%
If Win <1%32.4%13.7%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%23.7%12.0%1.5%<1%
If Lose <1%19.0%12.2%1.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RB LeipzigStatFreiburg
4Games played4
2.2Avg goals scored3.0
1.2Avg goals conceded0.8
50% / 0% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss75% / 25% / 0%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RB LeipzigStatFreiburg
12All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)4
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
2.1Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-05-16): Freiburg 4–1 RB Leipzig