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Bundesliga
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST

Mainz vs RB Leipzig Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 38% chance to win.

2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
VS
2-0-2 · Rating 1813
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
38%
34%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%26.5%13.6%1.3%<1%
If Win <1%31.3%15.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%24.9%13.2%1.0%<1%
If Lose <1%20.9%12.6%1.8%<1%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%13.7%9.1%3.8%<1%
If Win <1%16.4%9.8%2.3%<1%
If Draw <1%11.9%8.8%3.8%<1%
If Lose <1%9.4%7.6%4.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatRB Leipzig
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored2.2
1.5Avg goals conceded1.2
50% / 25% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 0% / 50%
0% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatRB Leipzig
7All-time wins (20 meetings, 4 draws)9
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-01-31): RB Leipzig 1–2 Mainz