Bundesliga
Sat, Apr 3, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST
Union Berlin vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability
Mainz has a 38% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Mainz
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 3.7% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | 15.8% | 10.5% | 2.1% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 4.0% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.3% | <1% |
Union Berlin
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation | Relegation playoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | <1% | 28.1% | 16.9% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | <1% | 23.9% | 13.2% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | <1% | 28.0% | 18.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | <1% | 30.3% | 21.2% |
| Union Berlin | Stat | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Games played | 4 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals scored | 2.5 |
| 4.2 | Avg goals conceded | 1.5 |
| 0% / 25% / 75% | Win / Draw / Loss | 50% / 25% / 25% |
| 0% | Home win % / Away win % | 100% |
| Union Berlin | Stat | Mainz |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | All-time wins (14 meetings, 5 draws) | 1 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (3 draws) | 0 |
| 2.0 | Average goals | 1.0 |
Recent Results
Union Berlin
@ Bayern Munich
Fri, Sep 18, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0–7
vs Schalke
Fri, Sep 11, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Bayer Leverkusen
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 4
0–4
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 6
3–3
vs Augsburg
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4–0
Mainz
@ B. Monchengladbach
Sat, Sep 19, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4–3
vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1–3
@ Hamburger SV
Sun, Sep 6, 2026 · Margin: +5 · Total: 5
5–0
vs Paderborn
Sat, Aug 29, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 0
0–0
@ Heidenheim
Sat, May 16, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 2
2–0