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Bundesliga
Sat, Apr 10, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST

Hamburger SV vs Union Berlin Prediction & Win Probability

Hamburger SV has a 43% chance to win.

1-0-3 · Rating 1681
Form: WLLLD
VS
0-1-3 · Rating 1691
Form: LLLDW
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%1.0%26.5%18.1%
If Win <1%<1%1.4%25.3%11.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%28.9%18.2%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%29.5%20.5%

Hamburger SV

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%26.9%15.3%
If Win <1%1.1%1.4%24.3%9.9%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.5%14.5%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%29.9%20.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Hamburger SVStatUnion Berlin
4Games played4
0.5Avg goals scored1.0
3.2Avg goals conceded4.2
25% / 0% / 75%Win / Draw / Loss0% / 25% / 75%
50% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Hamburger SVStatUnion Berlin
1All-time wins (2 meetings, 1 draws)0
1Last 2 meetings (1 draws)0
1.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Hamburger SV 3–2 Union Berlin