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Bundesliga
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 2:30 PM BST

FC Koln vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 40% chance to win.

1-1-2 · Rating 1679
Form: LDLWL
VS
2-1-1 · Rating 1768
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
32%
40%
Draw 28%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%13.1%8.8%4.3%<1%
If Win <1%16.1%10.7%2.2%<1%
If Draw <1%11.8%9.1%4.3%<1%
If Lose <1%10.1%6.8%5.1%1.4%

FC Koln

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.0%1.1%25.7%13.0%
If Win <1%1.3%1.3%22.2%8.7%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%26.6%12.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%29.6%15.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FC KolnStatMainz
4Games played4
1.5Avg goals scored2.5
2.2Avg goals conceded1.5
25% / 25% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 25% / 25%
50% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FC KolnStatMainz
7All-time wins (25 meetings, 10 draws)8
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.0Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-01-17): FC Koln 2–1 Mainz