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AC Milan vs Fiorentina Prediction & Win Probability

AC Milan has a 58% chance to win.
Serie A
Tue, Jan 5, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Serie A
AC Milan
6-3-1Rating 1831
Form: WLWWD
vs
Model Probability
58%
Draw 23%
19%
Serie A
Fiorentina
2-2-6Rating 1734
Form: WDLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Fiorentina

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%19.7%
If Win <1%<1%1.2%9.4%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%17.0%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%22.3%

AC Milan

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 3.5%34.4%17.3%<1%
If Win 3.5%39.5%17.4%<1%
If Draw 1.6%27.7%16.1%<1%
If Lose <1%22.9%15.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AC MilanStatFiorentina
10Games played10
2.1Avg goals scored1.5
1.2Avg goals conceded2.3
60% / 30% / 10%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
80% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AC MilanStatFiorentina
16All-time wins (34 meetings, 8 draws)10
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.4Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-01-11): Fiorentina 1–1 AC Milan