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Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction & Win Probability

Villarreal has a 40% chance to win.
Final Score: Alaves 1–1 Villarreal
Fri, Mar 13, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Alaves
7-6-14Rating 1832
Form: LLDDL
1 – 1
Model Probability
33%
Draw 28%
40%
La Liga
Villarreal
17-3-7Rating 1859
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatVillarreal
27Games played27
0.9Avg goals scored1.9
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
26% / 22% / 52%Win / Draw / Loss63% / 11% / 26%
38% Home win % / Away win % 46%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatVillarreal
8All-time wins (17 meetings, 2 draws)7
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-01-10): Villarreal 3–1 Alaves