← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Real Sociedad vs Alaves

Real Sociedad vs Alaves Prediction & Win Probability

Real Sociedad has a 55% chance to win.
Final Score: Real Sociedad 3–3 Alaves
Sat, Apr 11, 2026 · 1:00 PM BST
La Liga
Real Sociedad
11-8-11Rating 1855
Form: WLWLW
3 – 3
Model Probability
55%
Draw 25%
21%
La Liga
Alaves
8-8-14Rating 1832
Form: DWDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatAlaves
30Games played30
1.5Avg goals scored1.1
1.5Avg goals conceded1.4
37% / 27% / 37%Win / Draw / Loss27% / 27% / 47%
53% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatAlaves
8All-time wins (17 meetings, 3 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.2Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2025-12-06): Alaves 1–0 Real Sociedad