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← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano

Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 69% chance to win.
Final Score: Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano
Sat, Sep 12, 2026 · 8:00 PM BST
La Liga
Real Madrid
3-0-1Rating 2059
Form: LWWWW
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4 – 1
Model Probability
69%
Draw 19%
12%
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1-1-2Rating 1816
Form: WLDLW
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Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatRayo Vallecano
4Games played4
2.5Avg goals scored1.8
0.8Avg goals conceded2.5
75% / 0% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 25% / 50%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Full head-to-head
Real MadridStatRayo Vallecano
16All-time wins (22 meetings, 4 draws)2
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
2.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-02-01): Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano

Recent Results

Real Madrid

@ Betis
Fri, Sep 4, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 1
0–1
vs Malaga
Sun, Aug 30, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4–0
vs Real Sociedad
Wed, Aug 26, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
@ Espanyol
Sat, Aug 22, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1
vs Ath Bilbao
Sat, May 23, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4–2

Rayo Vallecano

vs Racing Santander
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3–2
@ Barcelona
Mon, Aug 31, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 7
2–5
vs Alaves
Thu, Aug 20, 2026 · Margin: 0 · Total: 2
1–1
@ Sevilla
Sat, Aug 15, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 3
1–2
@ Alaves
Sat, May 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1