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Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 1:00 PM BST

Rayo Vallecano vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Win Probability

Rayo Vallecano has a 46% chance to win.

2-2-3 · Rating 1834
Form: DWLWL
VS
2-2-2 · Rating 1821
Form: DDWWL
Model Probability
46%
27%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Ath Bilbao

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%12.0%6.2%10.5%
If Win <1%20.7%8.3%4.4%
If Draw <1%12.0%6.9%9.0%
If Lose <1%7.7%4.7%13.0%

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%12.5%6.3%9.4%
If Win <1%18.4%8.7%4.8%
If Draw <1%10.4%6.0%9.8%
If Lose <1%6.4%4.4%16.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Rayo VallecanoStatAth Bilbao
7Games played6
1.6Avg goals scored1.2
2.3Avg goals conceded1.0
29% / 29% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
67% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Rayo VallecanoStatAth Bilbao
3All-time wins (22 meetings, 5 draws)14
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.9Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Rayo Vallecano 1–1 Ath Bilbao