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Sun, Nov 8, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Real Sociedad vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction & Win Probability

Real Sociedad has a 44% chance to win.

3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
VS
2-2-3 · Rating 1834
Form: DWLWL
Model Probability
44%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Rayo Vallecano

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%12.7%6.7%8.8%
If Win <1%18.9%9.7%4.7%
If Draw <1%12.6%6.4%8.4%
If Lose <1%7.8%5.4%13.1%

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.2%8.2%5.3%
If Win <1%21.5%9.9%4.2%
If Draw <1%14.1%7.4%6.2%
If Lose <1%10.5%6.2%10.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatRayo Vallecano
7Games played7
1.3Avg goals scored1.6
1.9Avg goals conceded2.3
43% / 14% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 29% / 43%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatRayo Vallecano
8All-time wins (22 meetings, 8 draws)6
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.7Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-04-26): Rayo Vallecano 3–3 Real Sociedad