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Real Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 76% chance to win.
La Liga
Sat, Nov 21, 2026 · 8:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Real Madrid
9-0-2Rating 2051
Form: WWWWL
vs
Model Probability
76%
Draw 15%
9%
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2-6-3Rating 1814
Form: LDWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Celta Vigo

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%3.6%4.7%15.6%
If Win <1%8.5%6.8%7.0%
If Draw <1%5.7%4.8%12.2%
If Lose <1%2.5%3.4%16.8%

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 27.6%100.0%<1%<1%
If Win 29.0%99.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 19.6%99.8%<1%<1%
If Lose 17.4%99.7%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatCelta Vigo
11Games played11
2.5Avg goals scored0.9
0.9Avg goals conceded0.9
82% / 0% / 18%Win / Draw / Loss18% / 55% / 27%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatCelta Vigo
24All-time wins (28 meetings, 2 draws)2
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
2.8Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-03-06): Celta Vigo 1–2 Real Madrid