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Barcelona vs Villarreal Prediction & Win Probability

Barcelona has a 76% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Nov 22, 2026 · 1:00 PM GMT
La Liga
Barcelona
11-0-1Rating 2096
Form: WWLWW
vs
Model Probability
76%
Draw 15%
9%
La Liga
Villarreal
4-3-5Rating 1859
Form: WLWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Villarreal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.7%13.2%3.0%
If Win <1%28.6%15.6%<1%
If Draw <1%19.1%14.1%1.6%
If Lose <1%13.1%12.4%3.2%

Barcelona

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 70.1%100.0%<1%<1%
If Win 73.4%100.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 64.0%100.0%<1%<1%
If Lose 55.5%100.0%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BarcelonaStatVillarreal
12Games played12
4.0Avg goals scored1.4
1.1Avg goals conceded1.2
92% / 0% / 8%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 25% / 42%
83% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BarcelonaStatVillarreal
24All-time wins (32 meetings, 5 draws)3
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
2.7Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-02-28): Barcelona 4–1 Villarreal