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Sun, Nov 8, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Atl. Madrid vs Barcelona Prediction & Win Probability

Barcelona has a 47% chance to win.

5-1-1 · Rating 1949
Form: WWWLW
VS
7-0-0 · Rating 2085
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
27%
47%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Barcelona

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 80.5%100.0%<1%<1%
If Win 87.7%100.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 81.4%99.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 71.6%99.8%<1%<1%

Atl. Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 4.3%86.0%4.6%<1%
If Win 7.5%91.9%3.7%<1%
If Draw 3.4%86.6%5.2%<1%
If Lose 1.8%83.8%5.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Atl. MadridStatBarcelona
7Games played7
2.3Avg goals scored4.4
1.0Avg goals conceded1.0
71% / 14% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss100% / 0% / 0%
75% Home win % / Away win % 100%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Atl. MadridStatBarcelona
4All-time wins (33 meetings, 7 draws)22
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.8Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-04-04): Atl. Madrid 1–2 Barcelona