← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Real Madrid vs Ath Bilbao
La Liga
Sun, Feb 14, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Real Madrid vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 71% chance to win.

5-0-2 · Rating 2014
Form: LWWLW
VS
2-2-2 · Rating 1821
Form: DDWWL
Model Probability
71%
12%
Draw 18%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Ath Bilbao

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%11.7%6.5%9.4%
If Win <1%19.9%8.8%5.1%
If Draw <1%13.5%7.6%7.2%
If Lose <1%10.5%6.0%10.9%

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.9%96.1%1.9%<1%
If Win 15.7%97.4%<1%<1%
If Draw 10.9%95.4%2.1%<1%
If Lose 8.2%93.2%2.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatAth Bilbao
7Games played6
2.6Avg goals scored1.2
1.1Avg goals conceded1.0
71% / 0% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatAth Bilbao
25All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)2
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.3Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2026-05-23): Real Madrid 4–2 Ath Bilbao