← Home / Spain / La Liga / Matches / Villarreal vs Real Madrid
La Liga
Sun, Mar 7, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 47% chance to win.

2-2-3 · Rating 1873
Form: WWLLL
VS
5-0-2 · Rating 2014
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
26%
47%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.7%95.9%1.9%<1%
If Win 15.4%97.6%1.4%<1%
If Draw 11.0%95.7%2.0%<1%
If Lose 9.0%94.2%2.4%<1%

Villarreal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%22.3%9.8%4.5%
If Win <1%29.3%11.7%1.8%
If Draw <1%21.5%10.1%3.9%
If Lose <1%19.4%8.2%4.8%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

VillarrealStatReal Madrid
7Games played7
1.9Avg goals scored2.6
1.7Avg goals conceded1.1
29% / 29% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss71% / 0% / 29%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
VillarrealStatReal Madrid
4All-time wins (31 meetings, 11 draws)16
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.3Average goals2.2
Last meeting (2026-01-24): Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid