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Real Madrid vs Elche Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 74% chance to win.
La Liga
Wed, Apr 21, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
La Liga
Real Madrid
9-0-2Rating 2051
Form: WWWWL
vs
Model Probability
74%
Draw 16%
10%
La Liga
Elche
2-4-5Rating 1833
Form: LWDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Elche

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.7%5.6%10.5%
If Win <1%11.0%8.9%5.3%
If Draw <1%6.4%6.6%9.0%
If Lose <1%5.9%5.4%11.6%

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 26.6%100.0%<1%<1%
If Win 30.0%99.9%<1%<1%
If Draw 22.3%99.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 18.8%99.7%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatElche
11Games played11
2.5Avg goals scored1.3
0.9Avg goals conceded1.6
82% / 0% / 18%Win / Draw / Loss18% / 36% / 45%
100% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatElche
10All-time wins (13 meetings, 3 draws)0
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.7Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-09-15): Elche 2–3 Real Madrid