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La Liga
Wed, Apr 21, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST

Real Madrid vs Elche Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 70% chance to win.

5-0-2 · Rating 2014
Form: LWWLW
VS
1-2-4 · Rating 1823
Form: WLDLL
Model Probability
70%
12%
Draw 18%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Elche

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.0%4.1%17.8%
If Win <1%9.8%6.5%10.7%
If Draw <1%6.3%4.5%17.5%
If Lose <1%4.3%3.7%19.6%

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.8%95.4%2.2%<1%
If Win 14.8%96.8%1.6%<1%
If Draw 10.3%95.8%1.8%<1%
If Lose 8.8%94.2%2.4%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatElche
7Games played7
2.6Avg goals scored1.6
1.1Avg goals conceded2.4
71% / 0% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss14% / 29% / 57%
100% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatElche
10All-time wins (13 meetings, 3 draws)0
4Last 5 meetings (1 draws)0
2.7Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-09-15): Elche 2–3 Real Madrid