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Real Sociedad vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Win Probability

Real Sociedad has a 47% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, May 2, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
La Liga
Real Sociedad
7-1-4Rating 1855
Form: WLWWW
vs
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
26%
La Liga
Ath Bilbao
4-5-3Rating 1833
Form: DWWLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Ath Bilbao

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.0%12.6%2.2%
If Win <1%21.0%15.2%1.3%
If Draw <1%16.4%12.8%1.8%
If Lose <1%11.9%11.7%3.1%

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%43.8%16.8%<1%
If Win <1%49.0%17.6%<1%
If Draw <1%41.7%17.6%<1%
If Lose <1%33.8%16.6%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatAth Bilbao
12Games played12
1.8Avg goals scored1.2
1.7Avg goals conceded0.9
58% / 8% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 42% / 25%
67% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatAth Bilbao
13All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)11
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-11-01): Ath Bilbao 2–1 Real Sociedad