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Real Sociedad vs Villarreal Prediction & Win Probability

Real Sociedad has a 44% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, May 30, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
La Liga
Real Sociedad
7-1-4Rating 1855
Form: WLWWW
vs
Model Probability
44%
Draw 27%
29%
La Liga
Villarreal
4-3-5Rating 1859
Form: WLWDL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Villarreal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%15.8%11.8%3.0%
If Win <1%21.9%14.9%1.2%
If Draw <1%14.7%12.4%2.4%
If Lose <1%11.8%12.3%3.3%

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%42.3%16.9%<1%
If Win <1%49.3%17.1%<1%
If Draw <1%41.6%16.8%<1%
If Lose <1%36.1%16.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real SociedadStatVillarreal
12Games played12
1.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.7Avg goals conceded1.2
58% / 8% / 33%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 25% / 42%
67% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real SociedadStatVillarreal
8All-time wins (30 meetings, 7 draws)15
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-03-20): Villarreal 3–1 Real Sociedad