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UEFA Nations League · League D · Group 2 · Round 1
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Liechtenstein vs Lithuania Prediction & Win Probability

Lithuania has a 62% chance to win, with a 23% chance of a draw.

Rating 1141 · World #211
Form: LWLLL
VS
Rating 1374 · World #147
Form: LDLLL
Model Probability
15%
62%
Draw 23%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Liechtenstein

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand3%14%84%
Liechtenstein win 10%39%51%
Draw 3%17%80%
Lithuania win <1%6%94%

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand37%52%11%
Liechtenstein win 20%40%40%
Draw 30%56%14%
Lithuania win 44%53%2%

League D ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd
Azerbaijan 0 0 1428 60% 34% 6%
Lithuania 0 0 1374 37% 52% 11%
Liechtenstein 0 0 1141 3% 14% 84%
Promoted to League C (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
LiechtensteinStatLithuania
1-0-9Won-Drawn-Lost0-4-6
0.2Avg goals scored0.7
3.5Avg goals conceded1.7
1141Rating1374
#211World rank#147

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
LiechtensteinStatLithuania
1Wins (4 meetings, 1 draw)2
1Last 4 meetings (1 draw)2
0.5Average goals1.0
Last meeting (Tue, Sep 10, 2013, World Cup qualifier): Lithuania 2–0 Liechtenstein

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Liechtenstein

@ Aruba
Sun, Mar 29, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 20%
1–4
@ Tanzania
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 6%
1–0
@ Belgium
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 1%
0–7
vs Wales
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–1
@ Kazakhstan
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 7%
0–4

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania

@ Estonia
Tue, Jun 9, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 26%
0–1
vs Latvia
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 38%
1–1
@ Netherlands
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–4
vs Poland
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
0–2
@ Finland
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
1–2