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UEFA Nations League · League D · Group 2 · Round 2
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 ยท 2:00 PM BST

Lithuania vs Azerbaijan Prediction & Win Probability

Azerbaijan has a 36% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Rating 1374 · World #147
Form: LDLLL
VS
Rating 1428 · World #120
Form: DWLLL
Model Probability
33%
36%
Draw 31%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand37%52%11%
Lithuania win 70%26%4%
Draw 34%55%10%
Azerbaijan win 11%72%17%

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Azerbaijan

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand60%34%6%
Lithuania win 27%62%10%
Draw 62%33%5%
Azerbaijan win 87%12%1%

League D ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd
Azerbaijan 0 0 1428 60% 34% 6%
Lithuania 0 0 1374 37% 52% 11%
Liechtenstein 0 0 1141 3% 14% 84%
Promoted to League C (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
LithuaniaStatAzerbaijan
0-4-6Won-Drawn-Lost1-3-6
0.7Avg goals scored1.0
1.7Avg goals conceded2.4
1374Rating1428
#147World rank#120

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
LithuaniaStatAzerbaijan
0Wins (1 meeting, 1 draw)0
0Last 1 meeting (1 draw)0
0.0Average goals0.0
Last meeting (Mon, Mar 25, 2019, Friendly): Azerbaijan 0–0 Lithuania

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania

@ Estonia
Tue, Jun 9, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 26%
0–1
vs Latvia
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 38%
1–1
@ Netherlands
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–4
vs Poland
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
0–2
@ Finland
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 11%
1–2

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Azerbaijan

vs Sierra Leone
Mon, Mar 30, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 41%
1–1
vs Saint Lucia
Fri, Mar 27, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 63%
6–1
vs France
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
1–3
vs Iceland
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 23%
0–2
@ Ukraine
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
1–2