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Final Score: Azerbaijan 1–0 Lithuania
UEFA Nations League · League D · Group 2 · Round 4
Sun, Oct 4, 2026 ยท 2:00 PM BST

Azerbaijan vs Lithuania Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Azerbaijan had a 46% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1425 · World #122
Form: DDDWL
VS
Rating 1374 · World #145
Form: DWLDL
Pre-match probability
46%
25%
Draw 29%

League D ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd
1 Azerbaijan 3 5 1425 74% 25% <1%
2 Lithuania 3 4 1374 24% 69% 7%
3 Liechtenstein 2 1 1142 2% 6% 92%
Promoted to League C (1st, 2nd, 3rd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 9 internationals in any competition
AzerbaijanStatLithuania
1-4-4Won-Drawn-Lost1-3-5
1.22Avg goals scored0.89
1.56Avg goals conceded1.67
1425Rating1374
#122World rank#145

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
AzerbaijanStatLithuania
1Wins (3 meetings, 2 draws)0
1Last 3 meetings (2 draws)0
0.67Average goals0.33
Last meeting (Sun, Oct 4, 2026, Nations League): Azerbaijan 1–0 Lithuania

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Azerbaijan

vs Liechtenstein
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 78%
0–0
@ Lithuania
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 36%
1–1
vs Sierra Leone
Mon, Mar 30, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 41%
1–1
vs Saint Lucia
Fri, Mar 27, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 63%
6–1
vs France
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
1–3

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania

vs Azerbaijan
Sun, Sep 27, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 34%
1–1
@ Liechtenstein
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 62%
2–0
@ Estonia
Tue, Jun 9, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 26%
0–1
vs Latvia
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 38%
1–1
@ Netherlands
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 2%
0–4