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UEFA Nations League · League D · Group 2 · Round 6
Mon, Nov 16, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM GMT

Lithuania vs Liechtenstein Prediction & Win Probability

Lithuania has a 72% chance to win, with a 18% chance of a draw.

Rating 1374 · World #145
Form: LDWLD
VS
Rating 1142 · World #209
Form: DLLWL
Model Probability
72%
10%
Draw 18%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น Lithuania

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand24%69%7%
Lithuania win 32%68%<1%
Draw 4%91%4%
Liechtenstein win <1%34%66%

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Liechtenstein

Scenario1st2nd3rd
As things stand2%6%92%
Lithuania win <1%<1%100%
Draw 4%4%92%
Liechtenstein win 12%54%34%

League D ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd
1 Azerbaijan 3 5 1425 74% 25% <1%
2 Lithuania 3 4 1374 24% 69% 7%
3 Liechtenstein 2 1 1142 2% 6% 92%
Promoted to League C (1st, 2nd, 3rd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
LithuaniaStatLiechtenstein
1-3-6Won-Drawn-Lost1-1-8
0.8Avg goals scored0.2
1.6Avg goals conceded3.2
1374Rating1142
#145World rank#209

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
LithuaniaStatLiechtenstein
3Wins (5 meetings, 1 draw)1
3Last 5 meetings (1 draw)1
1.2Average goals0.4
Last meeting (Thu, Sep 24, 2026, Nations League): Liechtenstein 0–2 Lithuania

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Liechtenstein

@ Azerbaijan
Thu, Oct 1, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 7%
0–0
vs Lithuania
Thu, Sep 24, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 15%
0–2
@ Aruba
Sun, Mar 29, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 20%
1–4
@ Tanzania
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 6%
1–0
@ Belgium
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 1%
0–7